추정은 왜 실패하는가 (그리고 왜 여전히 필요한가)

Software estimation fails because development is inherently complex—systems are too interconnected for accurate predictions, even by expert teams. However, abandoning estimates entirely removes critical organizational capabilities for cross-team coordination, external commitments, and ROI decisions. The key insight is reframing estimation as a tool for managing expectations and communication under uncertainty rather than a prediction mechanism, allowing teams to make better decisions despite inherent unpredictability.