ended3월 23일· 1 sources

Bets on US-Iran ceasefire show signs of insider knowledge, say experts

미국-이란 휴전 베팅에 내부 정보 활용 정황, 전문가 지적

Why it matters

Multiple newly created Polymarket accounts bet nearly $70,000 on a US-Iran ceasefire, potentially standing to win $820,000, with experts noting signs of insider knowledge including wallet splitting and market-price purchases. Online prediction markets are increasingly tied to geopolitical events, raising concerns about war profiteering, as Polymarket faces regulatory scrutiny over facilitating insider trading linked to Trump administration military actions.

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